live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Austin Peay

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:184.0
Current RPI:184
Expected SOS:200
Current Record:16-17
Expected Record:16-17
Current Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-5
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:180
Expected OOC SOS:132


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1748.48%184.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Austin Peay.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Vanderbilt (63.0)SECA80-41L0%0.0
11-16Indiana (24.0)B10A102-76L0%0.0
11-18IPFW (71.0)SumH77-80L0%0.0
11-21Cal Poly (236.0)BWN73-64L0%0.0
11-22Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA76-91W100%0.0
11-28Samford (252.0)SCH74-73W100%0.0
12-2Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA61-48L0%0.0
12-5Troy (293.0)SBA71-80W100%0.0
12-12IPFW (71.0)SumA85-68L0%0.0
12-16North Florida (161.0)ASunA80-70L0%0.0
12-20Lipscomb (269.0)ASunA84-92W100%0.0
12-22Wofford (199.0)SCH84-77W100%0.0
12-28Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndH70-74L0%0.0
1-2Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH70-79L0%0.0
1-7Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH73-54W100%0.0
1-9Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCH66-72L0%0.0
1-14Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCA66-52L0%0.0
1-16Belmont (98.0)OVCA76-58L0%0.0
1-21SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCH90-86W100%0.0
1-23Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCH86-87L0%0.0
1-27Morehead St. (127.0)OVCA75-65L0%0.0
1-30Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA80-86W100%0.0
2-4Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCA86-77L0%0.0
2-6Murray St. (169.0)OVCA73-76W100%0.0
2-10Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCA70-79W100%0.0
2-13Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH84-85L0%0.0
2-20Murray St. (169.0)OVCH60-76L0%0.0
2-25SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA75-80W100%0.0
2-27Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH83-75W100%0.0
3-2Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCN72-92W100%0.0
3-3Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCA72-74W100%0.0
3-4Belmont (98.0)OVCA96-97W100%0.0
3-5Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCN73-83W100%0.0